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Grant Cohn: Road game on a Thursday is not the scenario for a 49ers recovery

  • Colin Kaepernick scrambles away from Rams linebacker James Laurinaitis in the team's meeting in St. Louis in December. (Seth Perlman / Associated Press)

You don't have to look hard to find reasons to pick the 49ers to beat the Rams Thursday night in St. Louis.

Here's one: The Rams stink.

Last Sunday they got destroyed by the Cowboys, a .500 team the past two seasons. And the Rams showed no emotion while they got stomped. It was like they expected it and didn't object to it.

The Rams' head coach, Jeff Fisher, is overrated. This is his 18th season as an NFL head coach and he's reached the playoffs just six times.

Offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer is no good. His offense is disjointed and his running game is a mixed mess.

And the quarterback, Sam Bradford, still has too many holes in his game and tends to throw the pick that kills his team.

Given all of that, I still can't pick the 49ers to win.

The 49ers stink, too. They may not stink all season but they stink right now. They've been outscored 56-10 the past two games.

And they have to play this Thursday night game on the road, and road teams lose Thursday night games roughly 65 percent of the time in the NFL.

And key 49ers have gone down. Aldon Smith won't play against the Rams. Patrick Willis and Vernon Davis and Nnamdi Asomugha probably will not play, either. Last season, the 49ers scored 13 points in St. Louis and they had receivers Vernon Davis and Delanie Walker and Michael Crabtree and Mario Manningham. Now, the 49ers have Anquan Boldin and that's about it.

Oh, the 49ers have running back Frank Gore, too. He did run well against the Colts last Sunday, not out of the Pistol formations but out of the traditional I-formations the 49ers ran when Alex Smith was their quarterback and Colin Kaepernick first took over.

Is it reasonable to assume Gore will have a big game against the Rams?

No.

Because when Gore played in St. Louis last season he got shut down.

He started off well, three carries for 34 yards. And then the Rams made an adjustment and then Gore rushed 20 more times for 24 yards. All but one of those carries came from traditional I-formation with Kaepernick under center.

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